Sunday 14 December 2008

The future's so bright... hah.

Many years ago I used to work for a small consultancy business that specialised in organisational development and occupational stress, and one of the few things that I remember from this time is that one of the main causes of stress is a person's lack of control (real or perceived) over their life. Why mention this? Well, because I'm not feeling particularly in control at the moment. Like a child's balloon in a hurricane I seem to be buffeted from one thing to another, taking knocks along the way. Whilst wearing my "pater familias" hat I guess that I should be steering the family ship with a firm hand on the tiller and a steely gaze to the horizon, but at the moment the seas seem to be a little too stormy to do anything other than lash myself to the mainmast and hang on. Work as an independent consultant is a very movable feast - you are either working or not, earning or not, and the decision as to whether you work or earn is not entirely in your own hands. A contract lost, a client in trouble, and suddenly you are in the business of looking for work. Not that this is the case at the moment, but the future looks ever more uncertain. I mean, Woolworths for god's sake - who would have thought it? I've seen the effects of this first hand - a company on the same business park as one of my clients supplies Woolworths - last week they laid off over half of their staff (close to 100 people I'm told), and this is only the beginning. A family member works in the car trade - and their dealership sold 2 cars in the last month with a profit margin of £60. The stories of wrecked businesses keep on appearing. God knows what the next year is going to be like. I really don't know how bad the recession/depression is going to get, but right now I strongly feel the need to get a plan together. And this is where it all falls down I guess - how can you plan for uncertainty? Do you just hunker down, cut your costs and hope that it will all blow over? Do you look at more radical alternatives? I think that most people will be hunkering down, which makes me want to go in another direction. If all turns to ordure, I don't think that the social security system will be strong enough to cope - so any safety net needs to be of my own making but what? I think that the answers will be found in the past - right now I'm researching the success stories of the great depression - I'll let you know how I get on.

2 comments:

Matt said...

A financial consultant friend of mine said the word on the industry street is that we're not going to feel it till at least Easter. That's when it's going to start.. until then we've still got a reserve tank.. then it'll freewheel down to the bottom of the hill from there. Happy Christmas.

Anonymous said...

i was going to try and make an intelligent comment about your incisive observations and that man Matt's relaxed and blasé "we've got until Easter" remark, but on the third attempt i decided i am incapable of such a task at this moment in time.

Suffice to say, I think the writing is on the wall, i think the reserve tank is empty. Buy bottled water and tins of beans and soup.

Oh, and why do you keep stopping with the blogging? it's all very good and interesting and you should do more. I come back and look frequently, only to see the same entry... You havn't gone and started another anonymous blog elsewhere have you? that would be copying...